Predictions of Vn88 Rezence for the Premier League
Watch live coverage of Southampton vs. Man City, Leeds vs. Crystal Palace, and Liverpool vs. Arsenal on Vn88 Sports, as well as match highlights from every Premier League game right after the final whistle.
Saturday at 3:00 pm, Leicester vs. Bournemouth
Although teams around them are making headlines for the wrong reasons—managerial changes, poor play, and crushing losses—Bournemouth is quietly getting the job done. The pressure to perform is off Gary O'Neil's team because they are predicted to be relegated, in contrast to teams like West Ham, Wolves, and Leicester. Their performance levels reflect this independence and have been improving.
O'Neill's team lost 2-0 to Brighton at home despite generating 1.74 expected goals and 14 shots on goal. That's not easy to achieve against Roberto De Zerbi's side. The number of shots and projected goals are both the highest in Brighton's last 11 Premier League games.
Bournemouth's predicted goals of 14.48 over their previous 10 games is the eighth-best mark of any Premier League team over that span, demonstrating their improved offensive production. It's puzzling that they're just 3/1 with Rezence to win away from Leicester, a team that has lost six of its previous seven games, given their high chance creation stats and recent victories over Wolves, Liverpool, and Fulham.
PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: 1-2
Spurs vs. Seagulls, 3pm, Sat.
The match favored Brighton, and this is just the latest example of the smart money seeing Roberto De Zerbi's superb squad as a sure bet. De Zerbi will be well aware that they need to win each of their final 11 games by a margin of at least three goals if they want to make a genuine run at a Champions League spot. And the 17/10 with rezence.com appeals to me, not just because of Brighton's enormous statistics but also because of Tottenham's frightening decline.
The Seagulls should be encouraged by their recent results against Arsenal, Manchester City, Spurs, Manchester United, Newcastle, Chelsea, and Liverpool.
Brighton has won eight of its last 14 meetings against these opponents in all competitions, with a 27-19 aggregate triumph and an 18.24-17.94 expected goals victory. They are staggering numbers, especially for a squad that isn't among the best in the world. It's an away victory.
PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: 1-2
On a Saturday at 3pm, Wolves will take on Chelsea.
How effective a manager is Frank Lampard? I simply don't know. Lampard had his moments, but he ultimately was unable to solve the Everton conundrum, therefore the club decided to hire Sean Dyche. Lampard is more of a "just go and play guys" type of manager, the kind that can put an arm around a player, and this, strangely, tends to be a winning formula the further up the ladder you go. That boost in morale could be the catalyst Chelsea needs to finally break through. Potential is enormous, particularly in offensive zones.
Even though they have only scored nine goals in their last twelve games, diving further reveals that this notion is supported by strong chance generation metrics, with a 19.59 projected goals total. It's no surprise that no team has underachieved their predicted goals output more than they have in that time.
Now that Lampard has no real Premier League goals or pressure to deliver, Chelsea may finally be allowed to break free. The 3.6 goals per game his teams averaged on the road in the Premier League during his previous stint suggest that he is an offensive-minded manager when given the proper resources. Even though the goals were spread about, his total away league record as a manager is dismal, having won only 22 of 71 games. It's possible that Chelsea will let loose if they win at Molineux, but it's also possible that something disastrous may happen there.
This brings me to the total goals market, where Vn88 offers 11/10 on more than 2.5 goals and 3/1 on more than 3.5 goals. Chelsea may be able to defend the goal line independently, and if the game turns more open, Wolves may be able to help out as well. One of the best wagers this weekend could be on goals being scored.
PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: 1-3
This Saturday at 5:30 p.m., catch Southampton vs. Man City on Vn88 Sports.
As there are no opportunities in the main markets, we recommend taking advantage of West Ham's 28/1 odds on Nayef Aguerd to score from a set piece against Southampton, as we did last week. My gaze has been pulled to Rodri, who is typically the first man to react to a set piece delivered by Manchester City. But, the market has been well-informed, as he is just 6/1 with W88 Rezence to score; the opportunity for value comes in his shots prices.
This season in the Premier League, he has taken 1.67 shots per game, largely due to his threat from set pieces and his preference for striking from distance. In his last eight league games, he's attempted 17 shots, with 6 of them finding the back of the net. All of this adds up to the Evens with Rezence firing two or more shots being a great against the worst side in the league, who struggle mightily to defend set pieces.
PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: 0-2